Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 4.000382 4.282078 4.587586 4.946129 5.358833 5.823350 6.392128
2025-02-16 3.553785 3.916026 4.331140 4.850083 5.493684 6.283657 7.357989
2025-02-23 3.219152 3.626290 4.113264 4.754250 5.602150 6.729817 8.435105
2025-03-02 2.879045 3.291787 3.800211 4.494507 5.458234 6.824002 9.086330
2025-03-09 2.654466 3.077455 3.613227 4.371604 5.476983 7.153587 10.239582
2025-03-16 2.427906 2.841276 3.374911 4.149474 5.319062 7.186872 10.934920
2025-03-23 2.305990 2.730545 3.292016 4.134045 5.467378 7.757342 13.005946
2025-03-30 2.184145 2.610340 3.184918 4.069873 5.528538 8.201513 15.189225
2025-04-06 2.063423 2.483284 3.057628 3.960619 5.497226 8.469110 17.237321
2025-04-13 1.939493 2.344473 2.903639 3.794565 5.342937 8.450323 18.482776
2025-04-20 1.882589 2.294925 2.874500 3.822257 5.540254 9.264720 24.128386
2025-04-27 1.845849 2.270973 2.880435 3.906782 5.861362 10.529181 36.422560
2025-05-04 1.794295 2.230277 2.869326 3.982576 6.232290 12.331806 76.029393
2025-05-11 1.736770 2.177680 2.836406 4.018766 6.542660 14.330652 361.240497
2025-05-18 1.678375 2.120395 2.791884 4.029788 6.810477 16.616010 NaN
2025-05-25 1.596092 2.022945 2.676055 3.894189 6.693826 17.226972 NaN
2025-06-01 1.536860 1.957417 2.607962 3.843341 6.787136 19.145435 NaN
2025-06-08 1.465219 1.869602 2.497714 3.698698 6.601021 19.349725 NaN
2025-06-15 1.427242 1.831622 2.467905 3.711272 6.856284 23.059251 NaN
2025-06-22 1.384274 1.783747 2.418157 3.677618 6.974180 26.402152 NaN
2025-06-29 1.337373 1.727652 2.351022 3.600860 6.944497 28.596239 NaN
2025-07-06 1.285005 1.661012 2.262423 3.471141 6.722228 28.293525 NaN
2025-07-13 1.261695 1.639185 2.250029 3.502935 7.032833 36.581305 NaN